Las acciones en Asia y Europa caen bruscamente mientras Trump intensifica aranceles globales: Actualizaciones en vivo Desde su reingreso al cargo, el presidente Trump ha emitido una serie de aranceles en un esfuerzo por reconfigurar la economía global. El miércoles, el Sr. Trump presentó sus políticas más agresivas hasta la fecha, sin perdonar a casi ningún país en el mundo. Una tasa base del 10 por ciento para el mundo entró en vigor el sábado, con tarifas mucho más altas para docenas de países la próxima semana. Los movimientos de Trump han provocado caídas en los mercados financieros, condenas de líderes extranjeros y advertencias sobre la inflación y la desaceleración del crecimiento económico. Los aranceles son un recargo gubernamental sobre productos importados de otros países. Los aranceles son pagados por las empresas que importan los bienes. Por ejemplo, si Walmart importa un zapato de $10 de Vietnam, que enfrenta un arancel del 46 por ciento, Walmart deberá $4.60 en aranceles al gobierno de EE. UU. ¿Qué sucede a continuación? Walmart podría intentar trasladar el costo al fabricante de zapatos vietnamita, diciéndole que pagará menos por el producto. Walmart podría recortar sus propios márgenes de beneficio y absorber el costo del arancel. Walmart podría aumentar el precio de los zapatos en sus tiendas. O, una combinación de lo anterior. Los economistas descubrieron que, cuando Trump impuso aranceles a China en su primer mandato, la mayor parte de ese costo se trasladó a los consumidores. Pero los estudios económicos encontraron que sus aranceles al acero extranjero eran un poco diferentes; solo alrededor de la mitad de esos costos se trasladaron a los clientes. ¿Por qué Trump está imponiendo aranceles? El presidente y sus asesores dicen que su objetivo es hacer que los aranceles sean tan dolorosos que obliguen a las empresas a fabricar sus productos en Estados Unidos. Argumentan que esto creará más empleos estadounidenses y aumentará los salarios. Pero Trump también ha descrito los aranceles como una herramienta de uso general, obligando a Canadá, México y China a frenar el flujo de drogas y migrantes hacia Estados Unidos. El presidente también sostiene que los aranceles generarán enormes sumas de ingresos que el gobierno puede utilizar para pagar recortes de impuestos. Los economistas dicen que los aranceles no pueden lograr simultáneamente todos los objetivos que ha expresado Trump. De hecho, muchos de sus objetivos se contradicen entre sí. Los mismos aranceles que se supone que impulsarán la fabricación en EE. UU. también están haciendo la vida dolorosa para los fabricantes estadounidenses, al interrumpir sus cadenas de suministro y aumentar el costo de sus materias primas. “Todos estos aranceles son internamente inconsistentes entre sí”, dijo Chad Bown, investigador principal del Instituto Peterson de Economía Internacional, un grupo de expertos en Washington. “Entonces, ¿cuál es la verdadera prioridad? Porque no puedes hacer que todas esas cosas sucedan al mismo tiempo.” ¿Cómo se calcularon los aranceles? La Casa Blanca publicó una fórmula complicada, pero una explicación parece ser sencilla: la diferencia entre lo que Estados Unidos exporta a un país y lo que importa. La perspectiva de Trump parece ser que cualquier déficit comercial —el valor de los bienes que EE. UU. importa de un país, menos lo que EE. UU. le envía como exportaciones— es malo, y se aplicarán aranceles hasta que se elimine. Desde hace tiempo, ha descrito los déficits comerciales bilaterales como ejemplos de que Estados Unidos está siendo «estafado» o «subvencionando» a otros países. En los cálculos de aranceles de la Casa Blanca, los países que envían más bienes a Estados Unidos de los que compran fueron considerados tener un comercio «desequilibrado» y enfrentarán aranceles más altos. Esta fórmula no tiene en cuenta que algunos países son mejores fabricando ciertos productos, un concepto conocido como ventaja comparativa. Y los economistas dicen que es absurdo obligar a los países a igualar exactamente sus exportaciones e importaciones hacia y desde Estados Unidos. ¿Cómo han reaccionado los mercados financieros? El anuncio del miércoles desencadenó una caída global en los mercados de valores a medida que se profundizaban las preocupaciones sobre una guerra comercial. Esas preocupaciones fueron confirmadas en gran medida después de que China retaliara contra los amplios aranceles de Trump con gravámenes empinados sobre bienes estadounidenses. El S&P 500, el índice de referencia de EE. UU., cayó un 6 por ciento el viernes, lo que llevó sus pérdidas en la semana al 9.1 por ciento. Fue la mayor caída semanal desde los primeros días de la pandemia de coronavirus en marzo de 2020. Las pérdidas fueron generalizadas, afectando a empresas de tecnología así como a empresas que dependen de la fabricación china en sus cadenas de suministro. Las acciones de Apple cayeron más del 13 por ciento durante la semana. Las acciones de Caterpillar, que fabrica equipos de construcción, cayeron casi un 11 por ciento. ¿Cómo han respondido los socios comerciales de EE. UU.? China dijo que impondría aranceles del 34 por ciento a todos los bienes estadounidenses. Las acciones en Asia y Europa caen bruscamente mientras Trump intensifica aranceles globales: Actualizaciones en vivo La Unión Europea dijo que estaba preparando contramedidas a los nuevos aranceles de Trump, después de anunciar medidas retaliatorias anteriores que se concentraban en una amplia variedad de productos, incluyendo whisky, motocicletas y ropa de mujer. Los funcionarios de la UE también están considerando barreras comerciales en servicios, utilizando un nuevo arma comercial que se desarrolló solo en 2021 para apuntar a Big Tech y Wall Street. Canadá ha prometido defender a sus trabajadores, empresas y economía de los nuevos aranceles y amenazas de Trump. El primer ministro Mark Carney dijo recientemente que estaba claro que Estados Unidos ya «no es un socio confiable». En marzo, después de que entraran en vigor los aranceles estadounidenses al acero y al aluminio, el gobierno canadiense dijo que impondría nuevos aranceles retaliatorios a importaciones estadounidenses por valor de $20 mil millones, además de los aranceles del 25 por ciento anunciados anteriormente. México hizo un gran esfuerzo para resistir los aranceles, enviando a más de dos docenas de líderes de carteles acusados a Estados Unidos para enfrentar cargos penales y enviando tropas a laboratorios de fentanilo y a la frontera con Estados Unidos. Britain intentó cultivar lazos más estrechos con Estados Unidos pero aún se vio atrapado en los aranceles de Trump. Corea del Sur convocó a un grupo de trabajo de emergencia y prometió «dedicar todos los recursos del gobierno para superar una crisis comercial». Brasil dijo que también estaba evaluando medidas retaliatorias. Australia dijo que no respondería con aranceles retaliatorios, ya que Anthony Albanese, el primer ministro, prometió no «participar en una carrera hacia el fondo que conduzca a precios más altos y un crecimiento más lento». ¿Qué países están exentos? Rusia fue notablemente excluida de los países, grandes y pequeños, afectados por los nuevos aranceles estadounidenses. El secretario del Tesoro, Scott Bessent, dijo que Moscú fue perdonado porque las sanciones impuestas al país después de su invasión de Ucrania efectivamente detuvieron el comercio entre Estados Unidos y Rusia. Pero los datos comerciales pintan un cuadro más complicado. El año pasado, Rusia aún exportó unos $3 mil millones en bienes a Estados Unidos, según cifras comerciales de EE. UU., principalmente fertilizantes y platino. Corea del Norte, Cuba y Bielorrusia, que también están sujetas a duras sanciones, también fueron excluidas de los nuevos aranceles. ¿Qué sucede a continuación? Jerome H. Powell, presidente de la Reserva Federal, advirtió el viernes que los aranceles de Trump podrían avivar la inflación y frenar el crecimiento. Muchos analistas redujeron rápidamente sus pronósticos de crecimiento económico, diciendo que los aranceles aumentarían los precios para los consumidores y los costos para las empresas, frenando la demanda y la actividad económica. Nancy Lazar, economista jefa global de Piper Sandler, estimó que la economía de EE. UU. podría contraerse un 1 por ciento en el segundo trimestre. Anteriormente esperaba un trimestre estable. «Es un golpe inmediato a la economía», dijo. Los economistas de Fitch Ratings dijeron en una nota el jueves que los aranceles habían elevado significativamente el riesgo de una recesión en Estados Unidos. Dijeron que los aranceles resultarían en precios más altos para los consumidores que exprimirían los salarios reales y pesarían sobre el gasto del consumidor. ¿Cómo podrían afectar los aranceles a los precios al consumidor? Los aranceles de Trump apuntan a países que suministran una amplia variedad de bienes a Estados Unidos. Para las familias estadounidenses, el resultado muy probable es un aumento en los precios en supermercados, concesionarios de automóviles, minoristas de electrónica y tiendas de ropa. Aguacates, tomates y fresas importados de México son algunos de los primeros lugares donde los compradores podrían notar un aumento en los precios. Podría tomar más tiempo que los precios suban para bienes duraderos, como automóviles, debido al inventario existente, o si las empresas esperan que los aranceles sean temporales. El Laboratorio de Presupuesto de Yale estimó que los nuevos aranceles automotrices de Trump, que entraron en vigor el jueves, elevarían los precios de los vehículos en un 13,5 por ciento en promedio, equivalente a $6,400 adicionales para el precio de un automóvil nuevo promedio de 2024. En total, los hogares estadounidenses pagarían $500 a $600 más, en promedio, como resultado de los aranceles, estimó el grupo. Trump ha argumentado que los aumentos de precios serían mínimos en comparación con otros beneficios económicos, y ha repetido ese sentimiento. Durante el fin de semana, la corresponsal de NBC News Kristen Welker preguntó al presidente si le preocupaba que los aranceles pudieran encarecer los automóviles. Caída brusca de las acciones en Asia y Europa mientras Trump insiste en aranceles globales: Actualizaciones en vivo Acciones en Asia y Europa caen bruscamente mientras Trump insiste en aranceles globales: Actualizaciones en vivo. Las acciones en Asia y Europa caen bruscamente mientras Trump insiste en los aranceles globales: Actualizaciones en vivo.

President Trump has been implementing numerous tariffs since returning to office in an attempt to reshape the global economy. His latest and most aggressive policies were revealed on Wednesday, affecting countries worldwide. The baseline rate of 10 percent for all countries took effect on Saturday, with even higher rates for specific countries scheduled for the following week.

These tariffs have led to a decline in financial markets, condemnation from foreign leaders, and warnings about inflation and economic slowdown. Tariffs are essentially additional charges imposed by the government on imported products from other countries. The burden of these tariffs falls on the companies importing the goods, who may choose to absorb the cost, pass it on to consumers, or negotiate with manufacturers to lower prices.

President Trump’s rationale behind imposing tariffs is to pressure companies into manufacturing products in the United States, thereby creating more jobs and boosting wages. However, economists argue that tariffs cannot achieve all of the conflicting goals the President has set, such as boosting manufacturing while simultaneously raising costs for U.S. manufacturers.

The calculation of tariffs by the White House is based on trade deficits, where countries with imbalanced trade relations with the U.S. face higher tariffs. This approach fails to consider comparative advantage and the complexities of global trade. The announcement of new tariffs sparked a global stock market decline, with concerns escalating about the possibility of a trade war.

Major companies, including Apple and Caterpillar, experienced significant losses due to the tariffs. China responded by imposing its own tariffs on U.S. goods. The repercussions of these tariffs are far-reaching, affecting various industries and global economic stability. Trump responded, «No, I’m not.» Trump responded by stating that he didn’t care about the prices on foreign cars going up, as he believed consumers would choose to buy American cars instead.

«What does it mean to be American made?»

Nearly half of all vehicles sold in the United States are imported, along with almost 60 percent of the parts used in vehicles assembled in the country. Since the establishment of the North American free trade zone in 1994, American and foreign-owned automakers have developed supply chains that span the borders of the United States, Canada, and Mexico. For example, the 2024 Chevrolet Blazer, a popular SUV made by General Motors, is put together at a plant in Mexico using engines and transmissions produced in the United States.

«What is the history of tariffs in the U.S.?»

In 1789, the United States relied heavily on tariffs for revenue and to protect domestic manufacturers. In 1828, tariffs averaging 38 percent were introduced to shield the manufacturing sector, leading to the «Tariff of Abominations.» The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 aimed to protect U.S. businesses after the stock market crash, but instead worsened the Great Depression. In 1934, Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act, which paved the way for liberal free trade policies.

Since re-entering office, President Trump has implemented numerous tariffs to reshape the global economy. His recent aggressive tariff policies have triggered market declines, international backlash, and concerns about inflation and economic slowdown.

«Why is Trump imposing tariffs?»

President Trump and his team argue that imposing tariffs will compel companies to produce goods in the U.S., creating more jobs and higher wages. However, he has also used tariffs as a tool to pressure other countries on various issues. Economists believe that Trump’s tariff goals are contradictory and can disrupt supply chains and increase costs for U.S. manufacturers. What is the true priority here? Because having all those things happen simultaneously is not feasible. Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, expressed concerns on Friday about the potential impact of President Trump’s tariffs on inflation and economic growth. Analysts quickly revised their economic growth forecasts, anticipating that the tariffs would lead to higher prices for consumers and increased costs for businesses, thereby dampening demand and economic activity.

Nancy Lazar, chief global economist at Piper Sandler, projected that the U.S. economy could contract by 1 percent in the second quarter, a significant downgrade from her previous forecast of a flat quarter. She emphasized the immediate negative impact of the tariffs on the economy.

Economists at Fitch Ratings warned that the tariffs significantly raised the risk of a recession in the United States. They highlighted that higher consumer prices resulting from the tariffs would squeeze real wages and undermine consumer spending.

The tariffs imposed by President Trump target countries that are major suppliers of goods to the United States, which is expected to lead to higher prices for consumers across various sectors such as groceries, automobiles, electronics, and clothing. Imported products like avocados, tomatoes, and strawberries from Mexico are likely to see price increases first.

While prices for durable goods like cars may take longer to rise due to existing inventory or anticipation of temporary tariffs, the Yale Budget Lab estimated that the new auto tariffs would increase vehicle prices by an average of 13.5 percent. This equates to an additional $6,400 for the price of an average new car in 2024, resulting in American households paying an extra $500 to $600 on average due to the tariffs.

President Trump has downplayed concerns about price increases, stating that they would be minimal compared to the economic benefits of the tariffs. He reiterated this stance when questioned about the potential impact of tariffs on car prices, emphasizing that consumers would opt for American-made cars if foreign car prices rose.

The impact of tariffs extends beyond consumer goods to the automotive industry, where nearly half of all vehicles sold in the U.S. are imported, along with about 60 percent of the parts used in domestically assembled vehicles. Supply chains in the automotive sector have evolved across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico since the establishment of the North American free trade zone in 1994.

Historically, tariffs have played a significant role in U.S. economic policy. From the reliance on tariffs at the country’s founding to protect domestic industries and finance the government to the controversial «Tariff of Abominations» in 1828 and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 during the Great Depression, tariffs have been a contentious issue. However, subsequent policies like the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act of 1934 paved the way for more liberal free trade policies over the years.

In conclusion, Powell’s warning about the potential impact of President Trump’s tariffs on inflation and economic growth underscores the complex and multifaceted consequences of trade policies on the economy. As analysts and economists adjust their forecasts and projections, the broader implications of tariffs on consumer prices, business costs, and overall economic activity remain a critical consideration for policymakers and stakeholders alike. Since re-entering office, President Trump has issued a flurry of tariffs in an effort to rewire the global economy. On Wednesday, Mr. Trump unveiled his most aggressive policies to date, sparing few countries around the world. A 10 percent base line rate for the world went into effect on Saturday, with much higher ones for dozens of counties coming next week.

Mr. Trump’s moves have caused financial markets to plummet, foreign leaders to issue condemnations and officials to warn about inflation and slowing economic growth.

## What are tariffs, and who pays for them?
A tariff is a government surcharge on products imported from other countries. Tariffs are paid by the companies that import the goods. For example, if Walmart imports a $10 shoe from Vietnam — which faces a 46 percent tariff — Walmart will owe $4.60 in tariffs to the U.S. government.

What happens next?
– Walmart could try to force the cost onto the Vietnamese shoe manufacturer, by telling it Walmart will pay less for the product.
– Walmart could cut into its own profit margins and absorb the cost of the tariff.
– Walmart could raise the price of the shoes at its stores.
– Or, some combination of the above.

Economists found that, when Mr. Trump put tariffs on China in his first term, most of that cost was passed on to consumers. But economic studies found that his tariffs on foreign steel were a bit different; only about half of those costs were passed on to customers.

## Why is Trump imposing tariffs?
The president and his advisers say their goal is to make the tariffs so painful that they force companies to make their products in the United States. They argue that this will create more American jobs and push up wages.

But Mr. Trump has also described tariffs as an all-purpose tool, forcing Canada, Mexico and China to crack down on the flow of drugs and migrants into the United States. The president also maintains that tariffs will rake in huge sums of revenue that the government can use to pay for tax cuts.

Economists say that tariffs cannot simultaneously achieve all of the goals that Mr. Trump has expressed. In fact, many of his aims contradict one another. The same tariffs that are supposed to boost U.S. manufacturing are also making life painful for U.S. manufacturers, by disrupting their supply chains and raising the cost of their raw materials.

“All of these tariffs are internally inconsistent with each other,” said Chad Bown, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a Washington think tank. “So what is the real priority? Because you can’t have all those things happen at once.”

## How were the tariffs calculated?
The White House put out a complicated-looking formula, but one explanation appears to be straightforward: the gap between what America exports to a country and what it imports. Mr. Trump’s point of view appears to be that any trade deficit — the value of goods the U.S. imports from a country, minus what the U.S. sends it as exports — is bad, and tariffs will be applied until it is eliminated. He has long described bilateral trade deficits as examples of America being “ripped off” or “subsidizing” other countries. In the White House tariff calculations, countries that send the United States more goods than they buy were deemed to have “unbalanced” trade and will face higher tariffs. This formula doesn’t account for the fact that some countries are better at making certain products, a concept known as comparative advantage. And economists say it is nonsensical to force countries to exactly equalize their exports and imports to and from the United States.

## How have financial markets reacted?
Wednesday’s announcement set off a global rout in stock markets as worries deepened about a trade war. Those worries were largely confirmed after China retaliated against Mr. Trump’s sweeping tariffs with steep levies of its own on U.S. goods. The S&P 500, the benchmark U.S. index, fell 6 percent on Friday, bringing its losses for the week to 9.1 percent. It was the steepest weekly decline since the early days of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020. Losses were widespread, hitting technology companies as well as firms that rely on Chinese manufacturing in their supply chains. Apple shares dropped more than 13 percent over the week. Shares in Caterpillar, a company that produces construction equipment, dropped by nearly 11 percent.

How have countries responded to U.S. trading partners?

– China announced 34 percent tariffs on all U.S. products in retaliation to the tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump. They also banned 11 American companies from doing business in China and stopped chicken imports from five major U.S. agricultural exporters.
– The European Union prepared countermeasures against the new Trump tariffs, targeting various goods such as whiskey, motorcycles, and women’s clothing. They are also considering trade barriers on services.
– Canada promised to protect its workers, businesses, and economy from new tariffs and threats from the U.S., with Prime Minister Mark Carney stating that the U.S. is no longer a reliable partner.
– Mexico took significant actions to fend off tariffs, sending cartel leaders to the U.S. to face charges and dispatching troops to fentanyl laboratories and the U.S. border.
– Britain, despite trying to strengthen ties with the U.S., also faced tariffs from Mr. Trump.
– South Korea assembled an emergency task force to overcome a trade crisis.
– Brazil indicated that they were evaluating retaliatory measures.
– Australia decided not to respond with retaliatory tariffs, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese stating they would not engage in a race to the bottom.

Which countries are exempt from the tariffs?

– Russia was not included in the countries hit with new U.S. tariffs due to sanctions imposed after the invasion of Ukraine.
– North Korea, Cuba, and Belarus, also under sanctions, were excluded from the new levies.

What are the potential impacts of tariffs on consumer prices?

– Mr. Trump’s tariffs could lead to higher prices for a variety of goods in the U.S., affecting consumers at grocery stores, car dealerships, electronics retailers, and clothing outlets.
– Prices for items like avocados, tomatoes, and strawberries imported from Mexico could increase.
– The tariffs could also raise prices for durable goods like cars, with the Yale Budget Lab estimating a 13.5 percent increase in vehicle prices on average.
– Overall, American households could end up paying $500 to $600 more on average due to the tariffs, according to estimates.
– Mr. Trump has downplayed the potential price increases, emphasizing the economic benefits he believes the tariffs will bring. Trump responded that he «couldn’t care less.» He added, «If the prices on foreign cars go up, they’re going to buy American cars.» Can you please rephrase this? Please rewrite the following sentence:

«The weather forecast predicts heavy rain for the entire week.»

«The weather forecast is calling for heavy rain all week.» Please rewrite this sentence. Please rewrite this sentence. Please rewrite this sentence.

FUENTE

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